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Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs

How the prediction market is pricing "Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Ends in Daytime 52% Ends in Daytime 50% Ends in Daytime 50% O/U 2.5 Games 46% Volume: $115K Liquidity: $499K Closes: 23 Aug 2026
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Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
52% 48% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
52% 48% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Ends in Daytime52%
Ends in Daytime50%
Ends in Daytime50%
O/U 2.5 Games46%
Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)43%
Both Teams Beat Roshan42%
Game 2 Winner38%
Game 1 Winner36%
Both Teams Beat Roshan36%
Both Teams Beat Roshan33%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks33%
Match Winner30%
Any Player Ultra Kill28%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks25%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks25%
Any Player Ultra Kill24%
Any Player Ultra Kill24%
Any Player Rampage17%
Any Player Rampage13%
Any Player Rampage13%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 52% probability to dota 2: team yandex vs team spirit (bo3) - the international playoffs. This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket final match between Team Yandex and Team Spirit in the The International Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. This market w…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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