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Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

How the prediction market is pricing "Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Map 2 Winner 61% Match Winner 60% Map 1 Winner 53% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 51% Volume: $125K Liquidity: $272K Closes: 22 Aug 2026
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Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
61% 39% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
61% 39% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner61%
Match Winner60%
Map 1 Winner53%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
O/U 2.5 Games48%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5)48%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5)43%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5)38%
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)32%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 61% YES probability for Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 1 match between FURIA and FUT Esports in the Esports World Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. This market will re…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
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