Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Game 1 Winner | 100% |
| Game 2 Winner | 100% |
| Game 3 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| Game Handicap: T1.A (-2.5) vs KT Rolster Challengers (+2.5) | 100% |
| Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs KT Rolster Challengers (+1.5) | 100% |
| First Blood in Game 1? | 100% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? | 100% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1? | 100% |
| First Blood in Game 2? | 100% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3? | 100% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3? | 100% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 100% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 100% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 100% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 100% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 3? | 100% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1? | 100% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 1? | 100% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? | 100% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 1? | 100% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1? | 100% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 3? | 100% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 3? | 100% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 3? | 100% |
| Game 4 Winner | 50% |
| First Blood in Game 4? | 50% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4? | 50% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 4? | 50% |
| First Blood in Game 5? | 50% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 5? | 50% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 5? | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 4? | 50% |
| O/U 3.5 Games | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 Games | 0% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? | 0% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2? | 0% |
| First Blood in Game 3? | 0% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 0% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 0% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 0% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 0% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 0% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 0% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 0% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 0% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 0% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 0% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 0% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2? | 0% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 2? | 0% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? | 0% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 2? | 0% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 3? | 0% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 3? | 0% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 54.5 in Game 3? | 0% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs. This market refers to the LoL Grand final match between T1 Academy and KT Rolster Challengers in the LCK Challengers League Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. This ma…
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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