When do sports markets resolve?

Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.

What are live sports odds on Polymarket?

Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.

Which sports markets are available?

Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.

What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?

Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.

Can I import form data and lineups?

This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.

59% odds: Next Prime Minister of Serbia? | Worldcup2026favorites

Name: Next Prime Minister of Serbia?
Start: 2026-07-01T15:56:53.029Z
End: 2028-07-01T03:59:00.000Z

Platform comparison

Platform	YES odds	NO odds	Fee	KYC	Settlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker)	59%	41%	0% (USDC on-chain)	No-KYC up to $1,500	USDC, auto via UMA oracle	Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com	59%	41%	0%	Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU	USDC, on-chain	Trade this market →
Kalshi kalshi.com	—	—	Up to 7% per trade	US-only, KYC required	USD	Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange betfair.com	—	—	2-5% commission	Full KYC from first trade	GBP / EUR	Trade this market →
Manifold Markets manifold.markets	—	—	Play-money (mana)	None — play-money	Mana (no cash-out)	Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

Outcome	Probability
Aleksandar Vučić	59%
Person C	50%
Person D	50%
Person E	50%
Person F	50%
Person G	50%
Person H	50%
Person I	50%
Person J	50%
Person K	50%
Person L	50%
Person M	50%
Person N	50%
Person O	50%
Person P	50%
Person Q	50%
Person R	50%
Person S	50%
Person T	50%
Person U	50%
Person V	50%
Person W	50%
Person X	50%
Person Y	50%
Person Z	50%
Person AA	50%
Person AB	50%
Person AC	50%
Person AD	50%
Person AE	50%
Person AF	50%
Person AG	50%
Person AH	50%
Person AI	50%
Person AJ	50%
Person AK	50%
Person AL	50%
Person AM	50%
Person AN	50%
Person AO	50%
Person AP	50%
Person AQ	50%
Person AR	50%
Other	50%
Ilija Srdanović	23%
Vladan Đokić	4%
Stefan Krkobabić	3%
Ana Brnabić	1%
Dragan Đilas	1%
Ivica Dačić	0%
Miloš Vučević	0%
Đuro Macut	0%
Branimir Jovanović	0%

Market context

Market consensus: 59% chance of next prime minister of serbia?. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Serbia by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individua…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Next Prime Minister of Serbia?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?: Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?: Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?: Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?: Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?: This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.

Alex ChenPrediction Market Analystand

Jordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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Next Prime Minister of Serbia?

Platform comparison

Outcome probabilities

Market context

Methodology

Resolution & payout

FAQ

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