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LSU vs. Kentucky

How the prediction market is pricing "LSU vs. Kentucky" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Spread -0.5 100% O/U 35.5 100% O/U 37.5 100% O/U 39.5 100% Volume: $1.3M Liquidity: $1.3M Closes: 10 Oct 2026
Open live market →
LSU vs. Kentucky

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Spread -0.5100%
O/U 35.5100%
O/U 37.5100%
O/U 39.5100%
O/U 41.5100%
O/U 43.5100%
O/U 45.5100%
O/U 47.5100%
O/U 49.5100%
O/U 51.5100%
O/U 53.5100%
O/U 55.5100%
O/U 57.5100%
O/U 59.5100%
O/U 61.5100%
O/U 63.5100%
O/U 65.5100%
O/U 67.5100%
1H O/U 21.5100%
1H O/U 24.5100%
1H O/U 27.5100%
1H O/U 30.5100%
1H O/U 33.5100%
1Q O/U 7.5100%
1Q O/U 10.5100%
1Q O/U 13.5100%
1Q O/U 16.5100%
2Q O/U 7.5100%
2Q O/U 10.5100%
2Q O/U 13.5100%
2Q O/U 16.5100%
2Q O/U 19.5100%
4Q O/U 7.5100%
4Q O/U 10.5100%
LSU O/U 20.5100%
LSU O/U 23.5100%
LSU O/U 26.5100%
LSU O/U 29.5100%
LSU O/U 32.5100%
Kentucky O/U 23.5100%
Kentucky O/U 26.5100%
Kentucky O/U 29.5100%
Kentucky O/U 32.5100%
LSU 1H O/U 11.5100%
LSU 1H O/U 13.5100%
LSU 1H O/U 15.5100%
Kentucky 1H O/U 12.5100%
Kentucky 1H O/U 14.5100%
Kentucky 1H O/U 16.5100%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H100%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2100%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q1100%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1100%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q2100%
1Q Spread -2.5100%
1Q Spread -0.5100%
3Q Spread -2.5100%
3Q Spread -1.5100%
3Q Spread -0.5100%
1Q Moneyline100%
3Q Moneyline100%
2H Spread -2.577%
2H O/U 21.556%
2H O/U 24.556%
2H O/U 27.556%
2H O/U 30.556%
Game Goes to Overtime55%
4Q Spread -0.555%
4Q Moneyline55%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown53%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q453%
Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown53%
LSU vs. Kentucky: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.553%
LSU vs. Kentucky: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.553%
LSU Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.553%
LSU Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.553%
LSU Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.553%
LSU vs. Kentucky: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.553%
LSU Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.553%
LSU Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.553%
LSU Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.553%
Kentucky Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.553%
Kentucky Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.553%
Kentucky Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.553%
Kentucky Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.553%
LSU Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.553%
LSU Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.553%
LSU Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.553%
Kentucky Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.553%
Kentucky Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.553%
Kentucky Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.553%
LSU Field Goals Made: O/U 0.553%
LSU Field Goals Made: O/U 1.553%
Kentucky Field Goals Made: O/U 0.553%
Kentucky Field Goals Made: O/U 1.553%
LSU Total First Downs: O/U 21.553%
LSU Total First Downs: O/U 19.553%
LSU Total First Downs: O/U 23.553%
LSU vs. Kentucky: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.553%
LSU vs. Kentucky: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.553%
2H O/U 33.550%
LSU 2H O/U 11.550%
LSU 2H O/U 13.550%
LSU 2H O/U 15.550%
Kentucky 2H O/U 12.550%
Kentucky 2H O/U 14.550%
Kentucky 2H O/U 16.550%
LSU Total Receptions: O/U 19.550%
LSU Total Receptions: O/U 24.550%
LSU Total Receptions: O/U 14.550%
Kentucky Total Receptions: O/U 14.550%
Kentucky Total Receptions: O/U 19.550%
Kentucky Total Receptions: O/U 24.550%
LSU vs. Kentucky: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.550%
2H Spread -7.550%
2H Spread -5.550%
2H Spread -4.550%
2H Spread -0.550%
2H Moneyline50%
Kentucky O/U 2.550%
LSU O/U 3.550%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H48%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q348%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q448%
Pick-Six Scored48%
Kentucky Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.548%
Kentucky Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.548%
Kentucky Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.548%
LSU Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.548%
Kentucky Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.548%
LSU Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.548%
LSU Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.548%
Kentucky Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.548%
LSU 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.548%
LSU 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.548%
Kentucky 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.548%
Kentucky 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.548%
LSU Field Goals Made: O/U 2.548%
Kentucky Field Goals Made: O/U 2.548%
Kentucky Total First Downs: O/U 19.548%
Kentucky Total First Downs: O/U 21.548%
Kentucky Total First Downs: O/U 23.548%
4Q O/U 13.547%
4Q O/U 19.547%
4Q Spread -5.545%
4Q Spread -3.545%
4Q Spread -2.545%
4Q Spread -1.545%
4Q Spread -1.545%
2H Spread -3.544%
4Q O/U 16.52%
Spread -0.51%
Spread -8.51%
Spread -16.51%
Spread -17.51%
Spread -20.51%
O/U 69.51%
O/U 73.51%
O/U 75.51%
Kentucky O/U 35.51%
LSU vs. Kentucky0%
Spread -20.50%
Spread -17.50%
Spread -16.50%
Spread -14.50%
Spread -13.50%
Spread -10.50%
Spread -8.50%
Spread -7.50%
Spread -6.50%
Spread -5.50%
Spread -4.50%
Spread -3.50%
Spread -2.50%
Spread -1.50%
Spread -1.50%
Spread -2.50%
Spread -3.50%
Spread -4.50%
Spread -5.50%
Spread -6.50%
Spread -7.50%
Spread -10.50%
Spread -13.50%
Spread -14.50%
O/U 71.50%
1Q O/U 19.50%
3Q O/U 7.50%
3Q O/U 10.50%
3Q O/U 13.50%
3Q O/U 16.50%
3Q O/U 19.50%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q30%
Spread -9.50%
1H Spread -9.50%
1H Spread -7.50%
1H Spread -6.50%
1H Spread -5.50%
1H Spread -4.50%
1H Spread -2.50%
1Q Spread -7.50%
1Q Spread -5.50%
1Q Spread -4.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
2Q Spread -7.50%
2Q Spread -5.50%
2Q Spread -4.50%
2Q Spread -3.50%
2Q Spread -2.50%
2Q Spread -0.50%
3Q Spread -5.50%
3Q Spread -3.50%
3Q Spread -1.50%
1H Moneyline0%
2Q Moneyline0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to lsu vs. kentucky. In the upcoming college football game between LSU and Kentucky, scheduled for October 10 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "LSU" if LSU win the game. This market will resolve to "Kentucky" if …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Spread -0.5 at 100% for "LSU vs. Kentucky".

Spread -0.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $1.3M.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for LSU vs. Kentucky. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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