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Mexico vs. England - Player Props

How the prediction market is pricing "Mexico vs. England - Player Props" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Harry Kane: 1+ shots 93% Julián Quiñones: 1+ shots 91% Harry Kane: 2+ shots 85% Raúl Jiménez: 1+ shots 85% Volume: $447K Liquidity: $1.8M Closes: 6 Jul 2026
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Mexico vs. England - Player Props

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
93% 7% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
93% 7% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Harry Kane: 1+ shots93%
Julián Quiñones: 1+ shots91%
Harry Kane: 2+ shots85%
Raúl Jiménez: 1+ shots85%
Harry Kane: 3+ shots71%
Raúl Jiménez: 2+ shots64%
Julián Quiñones: 2+ shots62%
Harry Kane: 4+ shots56%
Armando González: 1+ shots on target50%
Julián Quiñones: 3+ shots on target50%
Ollie Watkins: 2+ shots on target50%
Raúl Rangel: 3+ saves49%
Raúl Rangel: 5+ saves49%
Marcus Rashford: 1+ shots48%
Armando González: 2+ shots on target48%
Harry Kane: 4+ shots on target48%
Ivan Toney: 1+ shots on target48%
Ivan Toney: 2+ shots on target48%
Ivan Toney: 3+ shots on target48%
Ivan Toney: 4+ shots on target48%
Ollie Watkins: 1+ shots on target48%
Santiago Giménez: 1+ shots on target48%
Santiago Giménez: 2+ shots on target48%
Harry Kane: 1+ shots on target47%
Jordan Pickford: 2+ saves47%
Raúl Rangel: 2+ saves47%
Raúl Rangel: 4+ saves47%
Harry Kane: 2+ goals + assists41%
Santiago Giménez: 2+ shots39%
Harry Kane: 1+ goals38%
Raúl Jiménez: 2+ goals + assists38%
Raúl Jiménez: 3+ shots36%
Harry Kane: 2+ shots on target36%
Raúl Jiménez: 1+ shots on target36%
Julián Quiñones: 1+ shots on target35%
Santiago Giménez: 1+ shots34%
Jordan Pickford: 3+ saves34%
Raúl Jiménez: 3+ goals + assists34%
Julián Quiñones: 3+ shots33%
Armando González: 2+ shots32%
Marcus Rashford: 2+ shots32%
Harry Kane: 3+ shots on target32%
Jordan Pickford: 4+ saves32%
Marcus Rashford: 3+ goals + assists32%
Ivan Toney: 1+ shots31%
Julián Quiñones: 4+ shots31%
Ollie Watkins: 1+ shots31%
Marcus Rashford: 1+ shots on target31%
Julián Quiñones: 2+ goals + assists31%
Marcus Rashford: 4+ goals + assists31%
Santiago Giménez: 3+ shots30%
Jordan Pickford: 5+ saves30%
Julián Quiñones: 3+ goals + assists30%
Raúl Jiménez: 3+ shots on target28%
Harry Kane: 3+ goals + assists28%
Raúl Jiménez: 1+ goals27%
Armando González: 1+ shots27%
Harry Kane: 1+ goals + assists27%
Julián Quiñones: 1+ goals25%
Harry Kane: 5+ shots25%
Raúl Jiménez: 4+ shots23%
Julián Quiñones: 4+ goals + assists22%
Raúl Jiménez: 4+ goals + assists22%
Marcus Rashford: 3+ shots21%
Ollie Watkins: 2+ shots21%
Harry Kane: 4+ goals + assists21%
Ivan Toney: 2+ shots20%
Santiago Giménez: 4+ shots20%
Julián Quiñones: 1+ goals + assists20%
Raúl Jiménez: 1+ goals + assists20%
Santiago Giménez: 5+ shots19%
Raúl Jiménez: 2+ shots on target16%
Julián Quiñones: 2+ shots on target15%
Marcus Rashford: 1+ goals14%
Santiago Giménez: 1+ goals14%
Marcus Rashford: 2+ shots on target14%
Marcus Rashford: 4+ shots13%
Julián Quiñones: 1+ assists13%
Marcus Rashford: 1+ assists12%
Armando González: 1+ goals11%
Raúl Jiménez: 5+ shots11%
Raúl Jiménez: 1+ assists11%
Armando González: 5+ shots10%
Harry Kane: 2+ goals9%
Harry Kane: 1+ assists9%
Marcus Rashford: 5+ shots8%
Marcus Rashford: 1+ goals + assists8%
Julián Quiñones: 5+ shots7%
Ollie Watkins: 4+ shots on target7%
Ollie Watkins: 1+ goals6%
Armando González: 4+ shots6%
Ivan Toney: 1+ goals5%
Armando González: 3+ shots4%
Ivan Toney: 3+ shots4%
Ollie Watkins: 3+ shots4%
Marcus Rashford: 2+ goals + assists4%
Julián Quiñones: 2+ goals3%
Raúl Jiménez: 2+ goals3%
Harry Kane: 2+ assists3%
Marcus Rashford: 2+ assists3%
Raúl Jiménez: 2+ assists3%
Harry Kane: 3+ goals2%
Marcus Rashford: 2+ goals2%
Santiago Giménez: 2+ goals2%
Ivan Toney: 4+ shots2%
Ivan Toney: 5+ shots2%
Ollie Watkins: 4+ shots2%
Ollie Watkins: 5+ shots2%
Julián Quiñones: 2+ assists2%
Armando González: 3+ shots on target2%
Marcus Rashford: 3+ shots on target2%
Ollie Watkins: 3+ shots on target2%
Santiago Giménez: 3+ shots on target2%
Armando González: 2+ goals1%
Armando González: 3+ goals1%
Ivan Toney: 2+ goals1%
Ivan Toney: 3+ goals1%
Ollie Watkins: 2+ goals1%
Ollie Watkins: 3+ goals1%
Raúl Jiménez: 3+ goals1%
Santiago Giménez: 3+ goals1%
Julián Quiñones: 3+ goals0%
Marcus Rashford: 3+ goals0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 93% probability to mexico vs. england - player props. Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Mexico and England, scheduled for July 5 at 8:00 PM ET.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Mexico vs. England - Player Props. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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