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Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5: Closed Qualifier Playoffs

"Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5: Closed Qualifier Playoffs" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

Map 2 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ex-Zero Tenacity (-3.5) vs Nuclear TigeRES (+3.5) 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 100% Volume: $86K Liquidity: $45K Closes: 25 Sept 2026
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Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5: Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ex-Zero Tenacity (-3.5) vs Nuclear TigeRES (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.591%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.591%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.591%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.591%
Match Winner67%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: ex-Zero Tenacity (-3.5) vs Nuclear TigeRES (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: ex-Zero Tenacity (-6.5) vs Nuclear TigeRES (+6.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Nuclear TigeRES (-3.5) vs ex-Zero Tenacity (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nuclear TigeRES (-6.5) vs ex-Zero Tenacity (+6.5)10%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nuclear TigeRES (-9.5) vs ex-Zero Tenacity (+9.5)10%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.510%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nuclear TigeRES (-3.5) vs ex-Zero Tenacity (+3.5)9%
Map Handicap: ex-ZT (-1.5) vs Nuclear TigeRES (+1.5)1%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map Handicap: NTR (-1.5) vs ex-Zero Tenacity (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nuclear TigeRES (-3.5) vs ex-Zero Tenacity (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ex-Zero Tenacity (-6.5) vs Nuclear TigeRES (+6.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ex-Zero Tenacity (-9.5) vs Nuclear TigeRES (+9.5)0%

Market context

Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5: Closed Qualifier Playoffs — current market-implied probability: 100%. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round of 16 match between Nuclear TigeRES and ex-Zero Tenacity in the Stake Ranked Episode 5: Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 25, …

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5: Closed Qualifier Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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