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Club Olimpia vs. CR Vasco da Gama - More Markets

How the prediction market is pricing "Club Olimpia vs. CR Vasco da Gama - More Markets" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5) 100% CR Vasco da Gama (-2.5) 100% O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% Volume: $152K Liquidity: $920K Closes: 20 Aug 2026
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Club Olimpia vs. CR Vasco da Gama - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5)100%
CR Vasco da Gama (-2.5)100%
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
O/U 2.5100%
O/U 3.5100%
O/U 4.5100%
Both Teams to Score100%
Both Teams to Score in First Half100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
1st Half O/U 1.5100%
1st Half O/U 2.5100%
Club Olimpia O/U 0.5100%
CR Vasco da Gama O/U 0.5100%
CR Vasco da Gama O/U 1.5100%
CR Vasco da Gama O/U 2.5100%
Club Olimpia 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
CR Vasco da Gama 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
CR Vasco da Gama 1st Half O/U 1.5100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
CR Vasco da Gama 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
CR Vasco da Gama 2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
Club Olimpia (-1.5)0%
Club Olimpia (-2.5)0%
O/U 5.50%
Club Olimpia O/U 1.50%
Club Olimpia O/U 2.50%
Club Olimpia 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half0%
2nd Half O/U 2.50%
Club Olimpia 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
Club Olimpia 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

Club Olimpia of Paraguay will face CR Vasco da Gama of Brazil in the Copa Sudamericana on 20 August 2026, with the match kicking off at 6:00 PM ET. This is a continental competition fixture between two clubs with contrasting recent trajectories: Olimpia has been a dominant force in Paraguayan football, whilst Vasco da Gama has experienced inconsistency in Brazil's top division. The 0% implied probability on additional markets suggests either extremely limited liquidity on this particular market cluster or that traders perceive minimal uncertainty around what secondary betting lines will be offered post-match.

Historical precedent indicates that Copa Sudamericana matches between Paraguayan and Brazilian clubs rarely settle at extreme probabilities unless the underlying event itself is heavily skewed. Olimpia's home advantage (if applicable) and their recent domestic form would typically command 35–55% implied probability depending on venue and team news. The current zero reading likely reflects a thin order book rather than genuine market consensus that no secondary markets will emerge.

Traders should monitor team news releases through early August, particularly regarding squad rotation for either side's domestic league commitments immediately before or after the Copa Sudamericana fixture. Vasco da Gama's fixture congestion in Brazil's Série A could influence available squad depth. Confirmation of the match venue and any potential postponement announcements will also affect whether supplementary markets materialise at all, given that some platforms only populate secondary markets for matches deemed sufficiently liquid.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Club Olimpia vs. CR Vasco da Gama - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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