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LoL: GAM Esports vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C

"LoL: GAM Esports vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs GAM Esports (+1.5) 100% First Blood in Game 1? 100% Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? 100% Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? 100% Volume: $2.7M Liquidity: $1.7M Closes: 16 Jul 2026
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LoL: GAM Esports vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs GAM Esports (+1.5)100%
First Blood in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?100%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor10%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon10%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors10%
Any Player Quadra Kill10%
Any Player Penta Kill10%
Odd/Even Total Kills10%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Game Handicap: GAM (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)0%
First Blood in Game 2?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 1?0%

Market context

The Esports World Cup 2026 Group C lower-bracket final between GAM Esports and T1 has already been played, with T1 securing a 1–0 victory in the opening Best-of-1 match on 15 July 2026, ending the series before the scheduled BO3 could commence. T1 won Game 1 in 33 minutes, dominating with 24 kills to GAM’s 14, and Oner recorded 10 eliminations while Peyz outperformed Artemis in KDA and rating metrics [3][5][6].

Historically, when a team wins the initial BO1 in a tournament setting where a BO3 is contingent on progression, the lower-bracket final is either cancelled or restructured, rendering markets on the unplayed BO3 void or settled as 50–50 per the terms. In this case, T1’s advancement to the upper bracket and GAM’s drop to the losers’ bracket against Movistar KOI means the advertised BO3 final never occurred, aligning with the market’s cancellation clause and justifying the 0% YES probability for GAM [7].

Traders should monitor official Esports World Cup announcements confirming whether the BO3 was officially cancelled or if a replay was scheduled beyond the seven-day window. No roster changes, suspensions, or injuries have been reported for either side post-match, and the head-to-head record remains a single-game T1 lead with no prior meetings in the last six months [2][9]. The settlement hinges entirely on the tournament’s administrative decision regarding the unplayed series.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for LoL: GAM Esports vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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