🎁 New traders: 100% Deposit Match up to $500 · 0% fees · instant USDC payoutsClaim it →
Skip to main content
HomeGuideCryptoMarketsBlogTrade this market →

San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Mariners

How the prediction market is pricing "San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Mariners" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 70% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 56% NRFI 46% O/U 7.5 46% Volume: $172K Liquidity: $757K Closes: 25 Jul 2026
Open live market →
San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Mariners

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
70% 30% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
70% 30% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.570%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.556%
NRFI46%
O/U 7.546%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.544%
Spread -1.543%
San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Mariners37%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.537%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.531%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.524%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.523%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.520%
Extra Innings11%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.510%

Market context

Market consensus: 70% chance of san francisco giants vs. seattle mariners. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming MLB game between the San Francisco Giants and Seattle Mariners, scheduled for July 17 at 10:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 70% for "San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Mariners".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 70% Other 30%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $172K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Mariners. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
and

Trade San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Mariners on World Cup 2026 Favorites

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →

Related Topics

Sports