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Molde FK vs. Tromsø IL

How the prediction market is pricing "Molde FK vs. Tromsø IL" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Molde FK 100% Draw 0% Tromsø IL 0% Volume: $183K Closes: 16 Aug 2026
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Molde FK vs. Tromsø IL

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Molde FK100%
Draw0%
Tromsø IL0%

Market context

Molde FK host Tromsø IL in the Eliteserien on Sunday, with the market already priced as a certainty, so the only real line risk is late team news rather than the fixture itself. The historical frame is not one-sided enough to justify treating this as routine: Tromsø won the reverse league meeting 2-0 in May 2026, while the broader head-to-head has been fairly balanced across 44 competitive meetings, with Molde narrowly ahead overall but Tromsø having taken several recent encounters.[3][4]

The main catalysts are absentees and final line-ups. Molde are listed without Halldor Stenevik, Vebjørn Hoff, Mads Kikkenborg, Fredrik Kristensen Dahl and Seydina Diop through injury, while Niklas Ødegård is suspended for 16 August; Tromsø’s confirmed misses are Leo Cornic and Viktor Ekblom.[1][9] That leaves Molde thinner in defensive and midfield rotation than usual, and any late confirmation on whether Valdemar Lund or other borderline players are available will matter more than usual to how the match is read.[10]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Molde FK at 100% for "Molde FK vs. Tromsø IL".

Molde FK 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $183K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Molde FK vs. Tromsø IL. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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