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Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega

How the prediction market is pricing "Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Map 1 Winner 100% Map 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Map Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Eternal Fire (+1.5) 100% Volume: $350K Liquidity: $4.7M Closes: 17 Jul 2026
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Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Map 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Map Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Eternal Fire (+1.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-2.5) vs Eternal Fire (+2.5)100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-4.5) vs Eternal Fire (+4.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-5.5) vs Eternal Fire (+5.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-6.5) vs Eternal Fire (+6.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.5100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)72%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.551%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.551%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-2.5) vs Eternal Fire (+2.5)51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 29.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.510%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-2.5) vs Eternal Fire (+2.5)0%
Map Handicap: EF (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-7.5) vs Eternal Fire (+7.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-8.5) vs Eternal Fire (+8.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-9.5) vs Eternal Fire (+9.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-11.5) vs Eternal Fire (+11.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-3.5) vs Eternal Fire (+3.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-4.5) vs Eternal Fire (+4.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-3.5) vs Karmine Corp (+3.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 28.50%

Market context

The Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the Valorant match between Karmine Corp and Eternal Fire in the VCT EMEA Group Omega, initially scheduled for July 17 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" i…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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