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Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Aleksandar Kovacevic

How the prediction market is pricing "Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Aleksandar Kovacevic" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Completed Match 100% Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Set 1 Winner 100% Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Total Sets: O/U 2.5 100% Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Volume: $466K Closes: 5 Oct 2026
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Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Aleksandar Kovacevic

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Set 1 Winner100%
Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Match O/U 21.5100%
Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Match O/U 22.5100%
Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Match O/U 23.5100%
Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Aleksandar Kovacevic0%
Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Set 2 Winner0%
Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Set 2 O/U 8.50%
Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Game Spread +/-2.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to japan open tennis championships, qualification: zachary svajda vs aleksandar kovacevic. This market refers to the tennis match between Zachary Svajda and Aleksandar Kovacevic in the Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Aleksandar Kovacevic. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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Related Topics

Tennis Prediction Markets