Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 17?

Platform comparison

Market context

Chengdu is heading into another hot, humid August afternoon, with typical late-summer highs around 30-34C and frequent showers or thunderstorms that can knock temperatures down briefly rather than produce a clean cool spell. Recent forecast snapshots for 17 August point to a high in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius, which is consistent with the city’s usual August pattern rather than an outlier. [1][3][12]

For this market, the key read is that a 0% YES price implies the range currently being traded is far below what the weather usually delivers, so any upward revision towards the forecast peak would matter quickly. Historical August norms at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport sit roughly around 30C on the high side, while recent airport observations on 16 August were still in the warm, muggy low 30s Fahrenheit-equivalent range, leaving little evidence of a sharp cool-down heading into the settlement window. [7][12][15]

The main catalysts are the final local forecast updates, any change in thunderstorm timing, and whether cloud cover or rain arrives early enough to cap the day’s maximum before noon UTC. Chengdu’s August weather is often sticky and unstable, so traders should watch for shifts in the hourly high, not just the day’s headline summary, because brief clearing can be enough to lift the maximum into a higher Celsius band. [2][4][11]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 17?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?

Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.

Can I bet on individual matches?

Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.

What are live sports odds on Polymarket?

Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.

How fast do sports winnings settle?

Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.

Can I import form data and lineups?

This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.