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Iowa vs. Washington

How the prediction market is pricing "Iowa vs. Washington" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

1H O/U 21.5 100% 1H O/U 24.5 100% 1H O/U 27.5 100% 1Q O/U 7.5 100% Volume: $913K Liquidity: $877K Closes: 10 Oct 2026
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Iowa vs. Washington

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via World Cup 2026 Favorites) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1H O/U 21.5100%
1H O/U 24.5100%
1H O/U 27.5100%
1Q O/U 7.5100%
1Q O/U 10.5100%
2Q O/U 7.5100%
2Q O/U 10.5100%
2Q O/U 13.5100%
2Q O/U 16.5100%
Iowa O/U 20.5100%
Iowa O/U 23.5100%
Iowa O/U 26.5100%
Iowa 1H O/U 11.5100%
Iowa 1H O/U 13.5100%
Iowa 1H O/U 15.5100%
1Q Spread -3.5100%
1Q Spread -1.5100%
1Q Spread -0.5100%
2Q Spread -1.5100%
1Q Moneyline100%
Iowa vs. Washington96%
Spread -2.596%
Spread -0.596%
Spread -5.595%
Spread -4.595%
Spread -3.595%
Spread -1.595%
Spread -6.594%
O/U 35.592%
Spread -7.591%
O/U 37.591%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q291%
1H Spread -1.591%
1H Moneyline91%
2Q Moneyline91%
O/U 39.588%
Spread -10.586%
O/U 41.584%
Spread -13.583%
Spread -14.579%
Spread -16.576%
O/U 43.575%
Iowa O/U 29.573%
Spread -17.568%
O/U 45.567%
4Q O/U 7.567%
4Q O/U 13.563%
4Q Moneyline59%
Spread -20.558%
4Q O/U 16.558%
O/U 47.555%
2H O/U 27.555%
Spread -8.554%
O/U 49.552%
2H O/U 30.552%
3Q O/U 13.552%
4Q O/U 19.552%
3Q O/U 16.551%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q351%
Washington Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.551%
O/U 73.550%
O/U 75.550%
2H O/U 21.550%
2H O/U 24.550%
2H O/U 33.550%
3Q O/U 7.550%
3Q O/U 19.550%
Iowa O/U 32.550%
Washington O/U 26.550%
Washington O/U 29.550%
Washington O/U 32.550%
Washington O/U 35.550%
Iowa 2H O/U 11.550%
Iowa 2H O/U 13.550%
Iowa 2H O/U 15.550%
Washington 2H O/U 12.550%
Washington 2H O/U 14.550%
Washington 2H O/U 16.550%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q450%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q250%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown50%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q350%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q450%
Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown50%
Game Goes to Overtime50%
Iowa vs. Washington: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.550%
Pick-Six Scored50%
Iowa vs. Washington: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.550%
Iowa vs. Washington: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.550%
Iowa Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.550%
Iowa Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.550%
Iowa Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.550%
Washington Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.550%
Iowa Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.550%
Washington Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.550%
Iowa Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.550%
Washington Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.550%
Iowa Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.550%
Washington Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.550%
Iowa Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.550%
Washington Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.550%
Iowa Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.550%
Iowa Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.550%
Washington Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.550%
Washington Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.550%
Washington Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.550%
Iowa Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.550%
Iowa Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.550%
Iowa Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.550%
Washington Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.550%
Washington Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.550%
Washington Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.550%
Iowa 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Iowa 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Washington 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Washington 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Iowa Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Iowa Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Iowa Field Goals Made: O/U 2.550%
Washington Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Washington Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Washington Field Goals Made: O/U 2.550%
Iowa Total Receptions: O/U 14.550%
Iowa Total Receptions: O/U 24.550%
Iowa Total Receptions: O/U 19.550%
Washington Total Receptions: O/U 14.550%
Washington Total Receptions: O/U 19.550%
Washington Total Receptions: O/U 24.550%
Iowa Total First Downs: O/U 21.550%
Washington Total First Downs: O/U 19.550%
Iowa Total First Downs: O/U 19.550%
Washington Total First Downs: O/U 21.550%
Washington Total First Downs: O/U 23.550%
Iowa Total First Downs: O/U 23.550%
Iowa vs. Washington: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.550%
Iowa vs. Washington: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.550%
Iowa vs. Washington: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.550%
2H Spread -1.550%
2H Spread -0.550%
2H Spread -5.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
3Q Spread -0.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
3Q Spread -5.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -0.550%
4Q Spread -5.550%
2H Moneyline50%
Iowa O/U 2.550%
Washington O/U 2.550%
3Q Moneyline50%
Spread -17.549%
Spread -20.549%
2H Spread -2.547%
2H Spread -1.546%
4Q O/U 10.544%
2H Spread -3.544%
O/U 53.543%
4Q Spread -1.542%
4Q Spread -2.542%
O/U 51.541%
3Q Spread -2.541%
Spread -8.539%
4Q Spread -3.538%
3Q Spread -3.535%
3Q O/U 10.532%
O/U 59.531%
Spread -0.528%
O/U 55.528%
O/U 61.528%
O/U 65.524%
O/U 67.524%
O/U 69.523%
O/U 71.523%
O/U 57.522%
Washington O/U 23.514%
O/U 63.510%
1H O/U 33.510%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q110%
1H Spread -0.510%
1H Spread -5.510%
2Q O/U 19.59%
Spread -1.54%
Spread -3.53%
Spread -2.52%
Spread -5.52%
Spread -6.52%
1H O/U 30.52%
Spread -4.51%
Spread -7.51%
Spread -13.51%
Spread -14.51%
Washington 1H O/U 12.51%
Washington 1H O/U 14.51%
1H Spread -3.51%
2Q Spread -0.51%
2Q Spread -1.51%
2Q Spread -5.51%
Spread -10.50%
Spread -16.50%
1Q O/U 13.50%
1Q O/U 16.50%
1Q O/U 19.50%
Washington 1H O/U 16.50%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q10%
1H Spread -1.50%
1H Spread -2.50%
1Q Spread -0.50%
1Q Spread -1.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
2Q Spread -2.50%
2Q Spread -3.50%

Market context

Iowa vs. Washington — current market-implied probability: 100%. In the upcoming college football game between Iowa and Washington, scheduled for October 9 at 9:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Iowa" if Iowa win the game. This market will resolve to "Washingto…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1H O/U 21.5 at 100% for "Iowa vs. Washington".

1H O/U 21.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $913K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Iowa vs. Washington. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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